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Know the Different Times of the Day to Make Profits

Did you know that the tendencies that occur in U.S. stocks can be broken down into sequential order for a "usual" trading day? While reviewing this information, remember that the times listed are approximations, which means you can't expect to see a pullback/reversal each day at the exact same time. What you will see is that the pullbacks are common near the times listed.

Each of the times listed here are present in Eastern Standard time, with opening taking place at 9:30 AM and the close being at 4 PM.

The tendencies are also based on the index movement, which is actually an average of several stocks and there may be slight differences in some cases.

9:30 AM
Opening time/bell is also when there is a push in a certain direction. The price may also begin to whipsaw to and from a few times, but in most cases, one direction is going to prevail.

If you don't see too much movement in the initial 15 minutes, it may be a slow day overall. The initial hour is the most volatile time.

9:45 AM
The dominate direction that the price moved in is usually the initial test. There's either going to be a noticeable pullback or a complete reversal of the trend.

10 AM to 10:30 AM
This is another time when the "gut check" for the trend is going to come into play. This is when another major correction against the existing trend is going to occur. It can be a full reversal or a pullback. You can look at the context of the actual price moves to determine what to do.

11:15 AM to 11:30 AM
The London stock market will close at 11:30 AM ET. Between this time the European traders are getting out of their positions, which is when a new low or high is created or tested. These are usually the last significant moves prior to the price settling down over lunch.

1:30 PM to 2 PM
This is when the trends are most likely to be reasserted. Watch out for a breakout during this time.

2 PM to 2:45 PM
There isn't too much to watch but you should be wary. It is getting closer to the end of the day, with many people shuffling for their positions.

3 PM to 3:30 PM
The trend may swiftly change during this time. In many cases, the period is a "shakeout" when individuals may begin to try and reassert themselves. In some cases, you can make money, but don't count on it.

3:55 PM to 4 PM
Unless you have a certain strategy in place for trading in the last few minutes of the day, then you should finish up three to five minutes prior to closing. The US markets are going to have a closing auction and everything is done in a single transaction, which occurs at 4 PM.

As you can see, by knowing how stock prices usually behave at different times of the day, you will have a competitive advantage over those traders that don't. This knowledge can lead to more profitable trades and to success in you trading.

Next... Claim your free copy of the Understanding The Myths Of Market Trends And Patterns E-Book now! With your free eBook you will also subscribe to the FOREXTraders.Blog where we share this and many other trading strategies absolutely free.

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Modern Ways of Position Sizing

When I first started with trading more than a decade ago, I thought trading success was about being right - knowing when to enter the market and milk some money out of it quickly.

Pretty soon the markets taught me that this was not the right path to follow!

I slowly started shifting my mindset from being right to simple probabilities: I wasn't concerned about being right or wrong anymore, but rather about how much I lost when the trade didn't work and how much I made when the trade was profitable.

But 3 years ago, when I started designing the top-notch trading algos we're now using in our hedge fund, I wanted to go even further, so I turned my attention to an even higher level of risk management - based on the question:

What is the right position of my trade at any given moment?

Initially, we developed a special testing platform with the head programmer in my hedge fund and started testing an endless number of ideas to find new techniques for position sizing. The idea was simple - the higher the chance that the current market conditions were in our favor, the greater % of our capital we should risk (the more futures contracts we should trade), and vice versa.

We had quite a lot of fun testing all of our ideas and some of them were really pretty cool (yet pretty simple). Eventually, the testing led us to an even bigger idea we used to build our proprietary position sizing "brain" we called "Trading Director", but even if you're not at the phase of building your own hedge fund (yet), there are still plenty of simple ways you can use this approach and start testing advanced position sizing techniques.

Here a few simple ones you can test today:

1. The day of the week matters - Some days of the week have much stronger results than others, therefore, you can adjust your position size accordingly: On some days of the week you can increase your position by 25, 50 or even 100% (and on some days you should decrease the position size too).

2. The previous day's action often helps - The way the market traded on the previous day often matters. Just analyze what your trades look like when the previous day was an up day, when it was a down day, when it was a low-volatility day and when it was a high-volatility day. The previous day's action can be correlated with the quality of your entries, therefore, you have another great opportunity to set the size of your position accordingly.

3. An opening gap can make a lot of difference - In some markets, a large gap can mean that there might not be enough space for a further movement in the gap's direction, therefore, analyzing whether the current trading day opened with a gap, in which direction, and in what size, can be another effective way to determine a more appropriate position size for the given day.

Of course, there are many more techniques to explore, but these 3 are pretty good and are safe to start with. The more you experiment with different position sizing methods, under different market setups and conditions, the more interesting the results.

And if you really want to get advanced with this concept (which I highly recommend), then one of the best ways is to use Market Internals to analyse market conditions. This is one of the techniques we're using in our hedge fund and this is also where you can start seeing some really fascinating possibilities.

Happy trading and happy position sizing!

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